KPI validation report

Counting rule (provider, site, ownership; success vs attempt) not confirmed. Supplied baseline of 9 conflicts with sourced 7 and 8. Target is a supplied hypothesis without documented rationale.

• Confirm the counting rule: provider nationality, launch site, or ownership/control.
• Confirm whether the KPI counts successful launches only or all attempts.
• Identify the origin of the supplied figure of 9 launches in 2025.
• Identify the origin of the supplied comparisons (SpaceX 175, China 94) and their definitions before displaying any comparison.

Operational criteria drafted but Arianespace/Avio counting not confirmed. Supplied baseline counts Isar Aerospace before it reached orbit; sourced 2025 value used instead.

• Confirm whether Arianespace (Ariane 6) and Avio (Vega-C) count as two providers.
• Define the evidence required to classify Isar Aerospace (and future entrants) as operational rather than orbit-proven.
• The supplied 2025 baseline counts Isar Aerospace, which had not reached orbit in 2025.

Source measures lead-investor share, not share of capital contributed. No target year supplied.

• Confirm whether the KPI should measure lead-investor share (as ESPI does) or the share of capital actually contributed by European investors.
• Set a target year for the 90% target.
• Decide whether public-entity leads should count towards the European share.

ESPI totals include all capital, not private only. Exact 2022 figure needs checking. Tech.eu H1 2026 kept as context only.

• Decide whether the KPI should measure all capital raised (ESPI total) or private capital only; if private only, a source that separates private capital is required.
• Verify the exact 2022 ESPI figure.

ESPI definition of foreign acquirer and of completed control transfers not confirmed. Single cumulative value only.

• Confirm ESPI's definition of "foreign acquirer" (non-European vs non-national).
• Confirm whether ESPI counts only completed control acquisitions.
• Decide whether to track annual or rolling shares instead of a cumulative figure.

Figures from Commission EDF results. EDF is a defence programme, not space-specific. No target year supplied.

• Set a target year for the 30% target.
• Add EDF 2024 call results.
• Decide whether a space-specific subset of EDF funding should be tracked separately.

Reference constellation size differs between sources (290 vs at least 348). No official deployment tracking source yet.

• Confirm the reference constellation size (290 per Commission, Dec 2024; at least 348 per ESA, Oct 2026).
• Identify an official source that reports deployment progress once launches begin.

Threat indicator with no autonomy target by design; 50% warning threshold not confirmed. Latest documented value is from 2021.

• Locate a current (2024–2026) EUROCONTROL or EASA measurement using the same method.
• Trace the supplied "up to 40%" figure to a source.
• Confirm whether a 50% warning threshold is the agreed threshold.

Equipment scope, authentication support and denominator undefined; no data source identified.

• Define critical infrastructure, relevant equipment and authentication support.
• Decide whether the KPI measures procurement, installation or operational use.
• Identify a data source (procurement surveys, market data or national reporting).

Supplied 7% share not traced to a source; active vs registered users and platform undefined; no target year.

• Trace the supplied 7% / 64% shares to a source and identify the reference period and denominator.
• Decide which Copernicus access platforms define the user base.
• Set a target year for the 20% target.

• Trace 0.07% (Europe) and 0.25% (US) to OECD, ESA or Commission budget documents.
• Confirm reporting year and whether defence space budgets are included.

• Trace €230m and €10.9bn to Commission budget documents and ESA/OECD figures.
• Define which EU budget lines count as direct EU control.