Capability C05
Galileo and European navigation services
EU-owned global navigation satellite system and its services, including OSNMA authentication.
⚑ Draft assessment — requires reviewConfidence: Medium
Recommended approach
Build
Last reviewed 9 Nov 2026
Rationale (analytical judgement)
Sustain and strengthen an existing European capability.
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Three main questions
- How critical?
- High — Positioning, navigation and timing underpin transport, energy, finance and defence.
- Pressure risk
- Low — could an external provider use the dependency as political or economic pressure?
- Alternative in 24 months?
- Yes
Current position
- European capability
- Galileo is an EU programme; EUSPA launched the OSNMA authentication service (see KPI 09).
- External dependencies
- Control is European; exposure lies mainly in interference (see KPI 08) and in receiver uptake rather than in the system itself.
- Main external actors
- Other GNSS providers (GPS, GLONASS, BeiDou) as alternative or complementary signals
Additional factors
Factors without a recorded assessment are shown as not yet assessed.
- Cost of developing European capacity
- Not yet assessed
- Time to operational readiness
- Not yet assessed
- Availability of trusted partners
- Not yet assessed
- Market concentration
- Not yet assessed
- Technological maturity
- Operational system; authentication service launched.
- Impact on innovation and competitiveness
- Not yet assessed
- Security and resilience
- Authentication helps against spoofing but does not prevent jamming.
Recommendation history
Manual adjustments with their documented explanation.
No adjustments yet
The draft recommendation has not been changed.
Relevant KPIs
- KPI 08 European air traffic exposed to GNSS interference
Interference exposure affects navigation services.
⚑ Suggested link — not validated
- KPI 09 New critical-infrastructure navigation equipment supporting authenticated GNSS
OSNMA uptake measures use of Galileo authentication.
⚑ Suggested link — not validated
Related risks
- R4 Deterrence versus arms race
Navigation services are exposed to interference.
⚑ Suggested link — not validated